Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.739586 3.160106 3.624496 4.175542 4.811876 5.523999 6.381975
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.163686 2.710512 3.366114 4.210770 5.271521 6.561435 8.252237
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.740985 2.343550 3.119644 4.194157 5.646535 7.546352 10.228649
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.380018 1.980661 2.805371 4.023175 5.781431 8.237141 11.944313
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.107282 1.683676 2.522037 3.834191 5.845151 8.825701 13.607401
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.957900 1.535839 2.422157 3.885761 6.255739 9.966548 16.264810
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.807685 1.359279 2.247159 3.787167 6.410042 10.729209 18.450420
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.745017 1.312189 2.267645 4.003327 7.103642 12.457940 22.511200
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.678537 1.246743 2.245325 4.139271 7.675984 14.061706 26.615356
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.604095 1.154587 2.160971 4.148125 8.016276 15.297235 30.240984
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.513521 1.018052 1.974838 3.936157 7.904597 15.669839 32.261872
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.479937 0.985934 1.980325 4.094495 8.536680 17.564505 37.628429
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.454240 0.967897 2.015026 4.326579 9.376103 20.047267 44.747786
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.417334 0.920944 1.984287 4.417822 9.936147 22.044619 51.191554
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.378598 0.863984 1.923959 4.435287 10.338276 23.767839 57.338670
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.331523 0.781003 1.794412 4.275672 10.310448 24.520263 61.342056
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.289132 0.702127 1.662100 4.087585 10.182515 25.014596 64.797506
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.268053 0.670813 1.635722 4.150958 10.679831 27.096966 72.669896
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.239910 0.617755 1.549313 4.050687 10.747006 28.118369 77.944575
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.232605 0.616429 1.590511 4.285602 11.729117 31.657705 90.746394
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.221270 0.602816 1.598416 4.433562 12.502578 34.772471 102.949964
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.204726 0.572653 1.558551 4.444501 12.897568 36.916510 112.739773
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.180186 0.516656 1.441047 4.218019 12.574972 36.981142 116.289667